PREDICTIVE MODEL FOR THE SOCIOECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF TUBERCULOSIS AMONG THE INDIGENOUS POPULATION OF THE STATE OF PARÁ, BRAZIL

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5380/ce.v24i0.64835

Keywords:

Tuberculosis, indigenous population, social conditions, health information system, logistic models.

Abstract

Objective: develop a model that is able to identify the correlation between socioeconomic
determinants and incidence of tuberculosis in the indigenous population of the state of Pará.
Method: quantitative analytical study, which built a predictive model using Poisson regression
for 285 new cases reported in the Notifiable Diseases Information System, from January 2010
to December 2015, in the state of Pará.
Results: the model confirmed that 86% of the total number of new cases can be explained by
the variables: receipt of social benefits from the government, income, education and sex. The
first variable was considered the most significant with p<0.10.
Conclusion: the predictive model is useful as a support for making decisions, since it enables
focusing tuberculosis control actions on individuals at greater risk: indigenous men, with no
education, who do not receive social benefits.

Author Biographies

Bárbara Lopes Paiva, Universidade do Estado do Pará

Doutoranda pelo programa de Doenças tropicais, Grupo de Estudos de Agravos em Populações Tradicionais da Amazônia, Universidade do Estado do Pará, Belém, Pará, Brasil

Samantha Pereira Caldas, Universidade do Estado do Pará

Enfermeira. Mestre em Enfermagem.

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Published

2019-12-02

How to Cite

Paiva, B. L., Nogueira, L. M. V., Rorigues, I. L. A., Basta, P. C., Ferreira, Ângela M. R., & Caldas, S. P. (2019). PREDICTIVE MODEL FOR THE SOCIOECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF TUBERCULOSIS AMONG THE INDIGENOUS POPULATION OF THE STATE OF PARÁ, BRAZIL. Cogitare Enfermagem, 24. https://doi.org/10.5380/ce.v24i0.64835

Issue

Vol. 24 (2019)

Section

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

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