Commodity Prices and Exchange Rate in Export-Led Growth Model: An Analysis of Bilateral Trade Between Brazil and China
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5380/re.v39i70.67903Keywords:
Thirlwall’s Law, Exchange Rate, Commodity Prices, China, BrazilAbstract
Este artigo tem por objetivo desenvolver um modelo de crescimento liderado pelas exportações que incorpora o impacto dos preços das commodities sobre o crescimento econômico dos países especializados na produção de commodities. Na sequência, realiza-se uma análise empírica para testar a significancia dessas duas variáveis para explicar o crescimento econômico brasileiro no período de 1996 à 2018, considerando a relação comercial do país com a China. Os resultados econométricos demonstram que essas variáveis são importantes para explicar a trajetória de crescimento econômico do Brasil.
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