Adaptation and performance of Nesterov, FMA and FMA+ fire indices in Macurije Forest Company, Cuba

Authors

  • Marcos Pedro Ramos Rodríguez UPR
  • Ronaldo Viana Soares UFPR
  • Antonio Carlos Batista UFPR
  • Alexandre França Tetto UFPR, Curitiba,
  • Carlos Alberto Miranda Sierra Centro Meteorológico
  • Yulian Carrasco Rodríguez UPR

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5380/rf.v42i4.28659

Keywords:

Incêndios florestais, prevenção de incêndios, proteção florestal.

Abstract

Abstract

This research aimed to adapt Nesterov, Monte Alegre Formula (FMA) fire danger indices, and Modified Monte Alegre Formula (FMA+) to the Macurije Forest Company conditions as well as to compare their performances. The meteorological and forest fire occurrences databases were provided by the Meteorological Center, Hydro-economy Institute, and Forest Guard Corps of the Pinar del Rio province. All data referred to the period from 01/01/2006 to 31/12/2011. Two different scenarios were considered: one considering the rainfall measured at the Isabel Rubio Meteorological Station and other with the inclusion of 11 pluviometers distributed throughout the focused area. The performance of indices was evaluated by skill score methodology. Null and Low fire danger classes were considered as indicative of no fire occurrence and Medium, High and Very High classes as indicative of fire occurrence. Based on this definition the skill score and the success percentages of the indices had been calculated in the two proposed scenarios. The current and the adjusted scales of the danger indices were used. The results pointed to better performance for the three indices with the adjusted scale. The FMA+ index was the most efficient to forecast the fire danger in the focused region. The skill score and the success percentage of this index were 0.0737 and 57.10%, respectively.

Keywords: Fire danger index; forest fire; fire prevention.

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How to Cite

Rodríguez, M. P. R., Soares, R. V., Batista, A. C., Tetto, A. F., Sierra, C. A. M., & Rodríguez, Y. C. (2012). Adaptation and performance of Nesterov, FMA and FMA+ fire indices in Macurije Forest Company, Cuba. Floresta, 42(4), 651–660. https://doi.org/10.5380/rf.v42i4.28659

Issue

Vol. 42 No. 4 (2012)

Section

Artigos

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