Performance of the Monte Alegre Formula (FMA) and Modified Monte Alegre Formula (FMA+) in the Monte Alegre Forest District

Authors

  • José Renato Soares Nunes
  • Ivone Satsuki Namikawa Fier
  • Ronaldo Viana Soares
  • Antonio Carlos Batista

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5380/rf.v40i2.17827

Keywords:

Índice de perigo de incêndios, incêndios florestais, FMA, FMA .

Abstract

This research was developed in the Monte Alegre Forest District, located in Telêmaco Borba county, Paraná State, Brazil. The meteorological data used in the study was supplied by Klabin S.A., a major Brazilian forest company. Data on forest fire occurrences were collected from June 1998 to May 2003, totalizing 5 years of observation. The main objective of is research was to compare the performance of Monte Alegre Formula (FMA) and Modified Monte Alegre Formula (FMA+) in the fire danger prediction in the Monte Alegre Forest District. The performance of the indices were evaluated through the skill score method, based on a contingency table composed by the observed and the predict values for an event in a determined period of time. Null and Low fire danger classes were considered as indicative of no fire occurrence, whereas Medium, High, and Very High classes were considered as indicative of fire occurrence. Based on these premises the skill score and the success percentages of the indices were calculated. Results indicated a lower performance of the FMA compared to the FMA+ in the analyzed period.

Author Biography

José Renato Soares Nunes


Downloads

Published

2010-06-30

How to Cite

Nunes, J. R. S., Fier, I. S. N., Soares, R. V., & Batista, A. C. (2010). Performance of the Monte Alegre Formula (FMA) and Modified Monte Alegre Formula (FMA+) in the Monte Alegre Forest District. Floresta, 40(2). https://doi.org/10.5380/rf.v40i2.17827

Issue

Vol. 40 No. 2 (2010)

Section

Artigos

License

Direitos Autorais para artigos publicados nesta revista são do autor, com direitos de primeira publicação para a revista. Em virtude da aparecerem nesta revista de acesso público, os artigos são de uso gratuito, com atribuições próprias, em aplicações educacionais e não-comerciais.A revista, seguindo a recomendações do movimento Acesso Aberto, proporciona acesso publico a todo o seu conteudo, seguindo o principio de que tornar gratuito o acesso a pesquisas gera um maior intrcambio global de conhecimento. 

Conteúdos do periódico licenciados sob uma  CC BY-NC-SA 4.0