ANALYSIS OF SEASONAL AND CYCLICAL VARIATION OF THE BRAZILIAN CELLULOSE PRICE IN THE USA MARKET FOR THE PERIOD OF 1997 TO 2018

Autores

  • Jaqueline de Paula Heimann UFPR
  • Letícia Helena Ribeiro da Cunha
  • Vitor Afonso Hoeflich
  • João Carlos Garzel Leodoro da Silva
  • Anadalvo Juazeiro dos Santos

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5380/rf.v53i2.67341

Palavras-chave:

international trade, seasonality, chemical wood pulp, competitiveness

Resumo

The aim of this work was to analyse the seasonality in the price of the Brazilian pulp that is exported to the United States of America in order to support setting strategies and on the decision-making processes of the Brazilian companies in the international market framework. Data from the period between 1997 and 2018, related to the quantity and the value of exportation used in this work, was collected from the ALICE-WEB platform and then deflated using the month of April of 2018 as a base period. The results of the study show an instability in the prices of Brazilian pulp in the United States market, presenting four cycles with a non-periodic length and another fifth cycle that begins with a tendency of price recovery. The seasonal price movement tends to be greater during the second semester of each year, increasing mostly in the month of November. Therefore, the exportation of Brazilian pulp to the United States must be carried out, whenever possible, in the second semester, when the prices are higher, and stock the production from other months as well as look for alternative markets, having in mind a higher profitability for the companies.

Biografia do Autor

Jaqueline de Paula Heimann, UFPR

Engenheira Florestal, advogada, professora, doutoranda em engenharia florestal pela UFPR

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Publicado

31-03-2023

Como Citar

Heimann, J. de P., da Cunha, L. H. R., Hoeflich, V. A., da Silva, J. C. G. L., & dos Santos, A. J. (2023). ANALYSIS OF SEASONAL AND CYCLICAL VARIATION OF THE BRAZILIAN CELLULOSE PRICE IN THE USA MARKET FOR THE PERIOD OF 1997 TO 2018. FLORESTA, 53(2), 119–128. https://doi.org/10.5380/rf.v53i2.67341

Edição

v. 53 n. 2 (2023)

Seção

Artigos

Licença

Direitos Autorais para artigos publicados nesta revista são do autor, com direitos de primeira publicação para a revista. Em virtude da aparecerem nesta revista de acesso público, os artigos são de uso gratuito, com atribuições próprias, em aplicações educacionais e não-comerciais.A revista, seguindo a recomendações do movimento Acesso Aberto, proporciona acesso publico a todo o seu conteudo, seguindo o principio de que tornar gratuito o acesso a pesquisas gera um maior intrcambio global de conhecimento. 

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