Evaluation of vulnerability to coastal erosion in a traditional amazonian community

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5380/qeg.v16i1.98990

Keywords:

Sea Level Rise, Amazonian Coastal Zone, Climate change, Coastal erosion

Abstract

The Amazonian coastal zones are among the environments most susceptible to the impacts of climate change, exacerbated by increasing anthropogenic pressures. This study aimed to assess the vulnerability to coastal erosion of the community of Jubim, located on the eastern margin of Marajó Island, under two sea-level rise scenarios projected by the IPCC (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5). To this end, the Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) was applied in combination with shoreline change analysis using DSAS and land cover data. The results indicated that vulnerability is heterogeneous along the coastline. Under the RCP 2.6 scenario, intermediate conditions predominated, particularly in the northern and central sectors, while the southern sector remained more stable due to the presence of cliffs and abrasion platforms. Under the RCP 8.5 scenario, vulnerability was markedly intensified: the northern sector showed the highest indices, with shoreline retreat exceeding 180 m at critical points, and the central sector also displayed increased susceptibility, contrasting with the relative resilience of the southern sector. Overall, 30.3% of the coastline exhibited moderate vulnerability and 27.3% high vulnerability, indicating direct risks to agricultural and community-use areas near the northern sector. The integrated analysis further highlighted that agricultural expansion and urban occupation exacerbate vulnerability by compromising ecosystems such as mangroves, reducing natural resilience to sea-level rise. In conclusion, the CVI proves to be an effective tool for diagnosing and spatially mapping coastal vulnerability, providing valuable support for management and adaptation strategies in traditional Amazonian communities facing intensifying erosive processes and global climate change.

Author Biographies

Fabrício de Sousa Figueiredo, Universidade Federal do Pará

Oceanógrafo (2022) e Mestre em Oceanografia (2025), ambas titulações obtidas pela Universidade Federal (UFPA), através da Faculdade de Oceanografia (FAOC) e pelo Programa de Pós-Graduação em Oceanografia (PPGOC). Participou de projetos de extensão, pesquisa e embarques pelo Laboratório de Pesquisa em Monitoramento Ambiental Marinho (LAPMAR/UFPA) e pelo Laboratório de Oceanografia Geológica (LABOGEO/UFPA). Tem experiência em sedimentologia, geoprocessamento (SIG) e geomorfologia costeira, além de aptidão nos softwares Surfer, QGIS, ArcMap, Sysgran.

Mayara de Souza Rodrigues, Universidade Federal do Pará

Mayara de Souza Rodrigues é aluna da Pós-Graduação em Oceanografia, da Universidade Federal do Pará. Neste trabalho, Mayara contribuiu na etapa de campo.

Leilanhe Almeida Ranieri, Universidade Federal do Pará

Professora Adjunta da Faculdade de Oceanografia do Instituto de Geociências da Universidade Federal do Pará. Possui graduação em Oceanografia pela Universidade Federal do Pará, graduação em Tecnologia em Processamento de Dados pelo Centro Universitário do Estado do Pará, mestrado e doutorado em Geologia pela Universidade Federal do Pará. É membro do Grupo de Estudos Marinhos e Costeiros (GEMC/CNPQ) e Coordenadora do Laboratório de Oceanografia Geológica (LABOGEO/UFPA). Tem experiência na área de Oceanografia e Geologia, atuando principalmente nos seguintes temas: ambientes de sedimentação costeiros e marinhos, processos físicos costeiros, morfodinâmica de praia, transporte litorâneo e sedimentologia. Neste trabalho, Dra. Leilanhe Ranieri atuou como orientadora de mestrado.

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Published

2025-10-21

How to Cite

Figueiredo, F. de S., de Souza Rodrigues, M., & Almeida Ranieri, L. (2025). Evaluation of vulnerability to coastal erosion in a traditional amazonian community. Quaternary and Environmental Geosciences, 16(1). https://doi.org/10.5380/qeg.v16i1.98990

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Vol. 16 No. 1 (2025):

Section

Erosão, vulnerabilidade e obras costeiras

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